2022-04-10 📈 stock to avoid – part 1

stock to avoid
(part 1)
yang ditulis peter lynch di one up on wallstreet

hanya untuk catatan belajar $ihsg

if i could avoid a single stock, it would be the hottest stock in the hottest industry, the one that gets the most favorable publicity, the one that every investor hears about in the car pool or on the commuter train—and succumbing to the social pressure, often buys.

hot stocks can go up fast, usually out of sight of any of the known landmarks of value, but since there’s nothing but hope and thin air to support them, they fall just as quickly. if you aren’t clever at selling hot stocks (and the fact that you’ve bought them is a clue that you won’t be), you’ll soon see your profits turn into losses, because when the price falls, it’s not going to fall slowly, nor is it likely to stop at the level where you jumped on.

look at the chart for home shopping network, a recent hot stock in the hot teleshop industry, which in 16 months went from $3 to $47 back to $3½ (adjusted for splits). that was terrific for the people who said good-bye at $47, but what about the people who said hello at $47, when the stock was at its hottest? where were the earnings, the profits, the future prospects? this investment had all the underlying security of a roulette spin.

jadi ingat 2020 saham farmasi kaef diangkat dari 540 rupiah harga terendahnya di tahun itu sampai 7575 diharga tertingginya pada januari 2021, 1300%.

hot stock di hot industry kesehatan karena efek covid, euphoria saat itu hampir 1 tahun. walhasil sejak januari 2021 sampai sekarang masih downtrend berat.

antm hot stock di hot industry baterai, berita terkait nickel dan elon musk berseliweran. banyak yang sampai ejek-ejekan, debat. (saat ini masih cukup hot, karena harga nickel naik)

bbkp debatnya juga nggak kalah hebat, bts army, kookmin, etc. banyak die hardnya waktu itu, seingat saya ada ibu2 sampai debat dengan salah satu member stockbit padahal hanya dinasehati jangan pada terlalu euphoria.

dmmx diangkat dari 200-an ke 3460 di tahun 2021. saat ini sudah turun 50% dari harga tertingginya. saat rally, tiap minggu naik ini.. stream tiap hari ada tag dmmx.

disclaimeron.

tidak perlu dihiraukan, hanya catatan saya saja.

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